1. An operations manager's staff has compiled the information below for four manufacturing alternatives (A, B, C, and D) that vary by production technology and the capacity of the machinery. All choices enable the same level of total production and have the same lifetime. The four states of nature represent four levels of consumer acceptance of the firm's products. Values in the table are net present value of future profits in millions of dollars. Solve using the five criteria and choose the best alternative. a= 0.4, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2 respectively. Determine the best option using the following decision criteria: (a) Maximax (b) Maximin (c) Minimax Regret

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1. An operations manager's staff has compiled the information below for four manufacturing alternatives (A, B,
C, and D) that vary by production technology and the capacity of the machinery. All choices enable the same
level of total production and have the same lifetime. The four states of nature represent four levels of consumer
acceptance of the firm's products. Values in the table are net present value of future profits in millions of
dollars. Solve using the five criteria and choose the best alternative. a= 0.4, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2 respectively.
Determine the best option using the following decision criteria: (a) Maximax (b) Maximin (c ) Minimax Regret
(d) Laplace and (e) Hurwicz
States of nature
1
2
3
4
Alternative A
50
55
60
65
Alternative B
30
50
80
130
Alternative C
70
80
70
65
Alternative D
-100
-10
150
220
Transcribed Image Text:1. An operations manager's staff has compiled the information below for four manufacturing alternatives (A, B, C, and D) that vary by production technology and the capacity of the machinery. All choices enable the same level of total production and have the same lifetime. The four states of nature represent four levels of consumer acceptance of the firm's products. Values in the table are net present value of future profits in millions of dollars. Solve using the five criteria and choose the best alternative. a= 0.4, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2 respectively. Determine the best option using the following decision criteria: (a) Maximax (b) Maximin (c ) Minimax Regret (d) Laplace and (e) Hurwicz States of nature 1 2 3 4 Alternative A 50 55 60 65 Alternative B 30 50 80 130 Alternative C 70 80 70 65 Alternative D -100 -10 150 220
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