ABC Inc is considering the possibility of building an additional factory that would produce a new addition to its product line. The company is currently considering 2 options.  The first is a small facility that could build be built at a cost of $6million. If demand for the new product is low, the company expects to receive $10million in discounted revenues(present value of future revenues) with the small building. On the other hand, if demand is high, it expects $12million in discounted revenues using the small building.The second option is to build a large facility  at a cost of $9million. If the demand were to low, the company would expect $10million in discounted revenues  with the large building. If demand is high,  the company  estimates  that the discounted revenues would be $14million. In either case, the probability of demand being high is 0.40, and the probability of it being low is 0.60. Not constructing a new facility would result in no additional revenue being generated because the current factories cannot produce these new products.  Construct a decision tree to help ABC make the best decision.  What is the best decision?

Practical Management Science
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Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
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ABC Inc is considering the possibility of building an additional factory that would produce a new addition to its product line. The company is currently considering 2 options.  The first is a small facility that could build be built at a cost of $6million. If demand for the new product is low, the company expects to receive $10million in discounted revenues(present value of future revenues) with the small building. On the other hand, if demand is high, it expects $12million in discounted revenues using the small building.The second option is to build a large facility  at a cost of $9million. If the demand were to low, the company would expect $10million in discounted revenues  with the large building. If demand is high,  the company  estimates  that the discounted revenues would be $14million. In either case, the probability of demand being high is 0.40, and the probability of it being low is 0.60. Not constructing a new facility would result in no additional revenue being generated because the current factories cannot produce these new products.  Construct a decision tree to help ABC make the best decision.  What is the best decision?

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