a) What is the value of your forecast? b) What if the weights were 0.40, 0.30, 0.20, and 0.10, respectively? Now what is the forecast for week 7? 083-849 c) Calculate the MAPE for both cases 202218

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter10: Introduction To Simulation Modeling
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 41P: At the beginning of each week, a machine is in one of four conditions: 1 = excellent; 2 = good; 3 =...
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The actual demand for the patients at Omaha Emergency Medical Clinic for the first 6 weeks of this year follows:
WEEK/0914
ACTUAL NO. OF
PATIENTS
65
23/09/24202718b1083-84968
1
2
3
4
S
6
48
63
52
202218bt083-84968-2023/09/24-2022186108
1968-2023/09/24-20221861083-84968-202
09/
Clinic administrator wants you to forecast patient demand the clinic for week 7 by using this data. You decide to use a weighted movir
average method to find this forecast. Your method uses four actual demand levels, with weights of 0.333 in the present period, 0.25 one peric
ago, 0.25 two periods ago, and 0.167 three periods ago.
a) What is the value of your forecast?
218b1083-84968-2
b) What if the weights were 0.40, 0.30, 0.20, and 0.10, respectively? Now what is the forecast for week 7?
c) Calculate the MAPE for both cases
083-84968-20 wit
week-202218b1000
210 forec
84968-20
93-84
Transcribed Image Text:The actual demand for the patients at Omaha Emergency Medical Clinic for the first 6 weeks of this year follows: WEEK/0914 ACTUAL NO. OF PATIENTS 65 23/09/24202718b1083-84968 1 2 3 4 S 6 48 63 52 202218bt083-84968-2023/09/24-2022186108 1968-2023/09/24-20221861083-84968-202 09/ Clinic administrator wants you to forecast patient demand the clinic for week 7 by using this data. You decide to use a weighted movir average method to find this forecast. Your method uses four actual demand levels, with weights of 0.333 in the present period, 0.25 one peric ago, 0.25 two periods ago, and 0.167 three periods ago. a) What is the value of your forecast? 218b1083-84968-2 b) What if the weights were 0.40, 0.30, 0.20, and 0.10, respectively? Now what is the forecast for week 7? c) Calculate the MAPE for both cases 083-84968-20 wit week-202218b1000 210 forec 84968-20 93-84
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